ASPI – China, 2024

The year 2023 presented numerous challenges for China, including economic difficulties, high-level purges, social unrest, extreme weather events, and a volatile geopolitical environment. Looking ahead to 2024, the Asia Society Policy Institute's Center for China Analysis anticipates a tough year with only slight improvements. Key issues to observe in the coming year include ongoing economic struggles, President Xi Jinping's security-focused agenda hindering growth, weakening governance due to eroding trust, increased public dissatisfaction, purges within provincial governments, Xi's authoritative leadership style, climate resilience as a security concern, efforts to restore international climate leadership, bolstering connections with the Global South, and the influence of upcoming elections on Chinese foreign policy. The Center for China Analysis plans to closely monitor these developments in 2024 by utilizing an "inside-out" methodology and Chinese sources to offer impartial, policy-relevant insights.