Eurasia Group – Top Risks, 2024

The report by EurasiaGroup Top Risks, 2024 predicts three major conflicts that will dominate world affairs: Russia vs. Ukraine, Israel vs. Hamas, and the United States vs. itself. The situation in Ukraine is worsening, with Ukraine losing international support and the conflict likely to escalate. The Israel-Gaza conflict is also escalating, with no end in sight and increasing radicalization on both sides. The biggest challenge in 2024 is the dysfunctional US election, which will have significant consequences for global security, stability, and the economy. None of these conflicts have clear solutions or responsible leaders willing to address them. In addition, the world is currently in a G-Zero world without global leadership, which is leading to more unsolvable conflicts in the future. However, there are some bright spots, such as the US and China avoiding conflict and the potential benefits of technology, specifically artificial intelligence. The world needs to hope that technological developments do not lead to major crises in 2024.