RAND Corporation – Managing AI's Economic Future: Strategic Automation Policy in an Era of Global Competition

The main theme of the report is related to policy strategies for managing economic growth and inequality in the context of various scenarios of artificial intelligence (AI) development.

Particular attention is paid to technological competition between major powers. The report does not attempt to predict the trajectory of AI development or deployment, but rather assesses the effectiveness of policies that encourage and discourage automation in various possible future scenarios. The analysis includes distinguishing between vertical automation (improving already automated tasks) and horizontal automation (automating new tasks).