IATA – Long-Term Air Transport Passenger Demand Projections, Feb 2026

This report provides long-term projections of passenger air transport demand up to the year 2050.

It is based on a proprietary econometric model developed by IATA using detailed granular demand data. The model offers projections at country, regional, region-pair, and global levels, showing high reliability with minimal differences between projected and historical data. It integrates passenger demand, fares, network supply characteristics, and macroeconomic indicators, employing advanced statistical methods to ensure robust forecasts.